3 PRIMARY RETIREMENT PLANNING CONCERNS
Ø
Outliving Income;
Ø Retirement
income does not keep up with reality (i.e., the never ending effects of inflation and taxes); and,
Ø
Dealing with life’s contingencies (e.g., changing circumstances, emergencies, long-term
care scenarios, etc.).
Question: Which of the above concerns is the most important
one?
Answer:
The one that a client is currently facing.
Solution: Ideally, a plan
should provide a high likelihood of success for all 3 concerns without sacrificing one or more concern(s):
A plan that -
1. Provides reliable income, but at a reduced life style or subsistence
level, is acceptable only
to sustain life;
2. Provides a comfortable life
style for a while but knowingly later
requires dependency upon working, family and/or society, is unwise;
3. Provides reliable income and comfortable life style
but cannot adjust to
contingencies, i.e., real life, is dangerous;
4.
A plan that provides a high likelihood of reliable income, comfortable life
style, and ability to adjust to contingencies, is ideal.
R.O.I.’S
RETIREMENT PLANNING STRATEGY
First Step: Relative to a client’s
R.O.I. managed portfolio, determine the actual projected dollar withdrawals (not a % of portfolio)
from each account by either:
1. Creating a Comprehensive Financial
Plan (CFP) that will accurately
project future withdrawals
after accounting for inflation, taxes, et. al; or,
2. The Client committing to specific
future dollar withdrawals (some
projections may be needed to determine
viability of withdrawals).
Second Step: Make sure client has an emergency fund (minimum = 3 months
of budget), open home equity line, and a 72 hour kit;
Third Step: Divide client’s
account(s) that are subject to planned withdrawals over the current four years into Short-Term (S-T) and Long-Term (L-T) accounts,
and then administer them as follows:
1. Make sure
client has in possession the current year’s projected
withdrawal;
2. Manage the
Short-Term account to assure up to 3 more years of future
projected withdrawals (note that 1 and 2 protect the L-T account against
up to 4 consecutive down years – something that has never happened in the markets);
3. Manage the Long-Term account to help beat the never ending effects of
inflation and taxes (because the S-T account is so conservative,
probably increase the L-T account allocation model one level, e.g.,
Moderate to Aggressive);
4. Have
an Annual Review with client to see how life, economies,
laws, and circumstances have changed, and make relative plan changes;
and,
5. Both the S-T and the L-T accounts
are very liquid and very diversified to
deal with contingencies.
Client’s Annual Review | In Client’s Possession | In Short-Term Account | In Long-Term Account |
Current year. | Current yr’s w/drawl. | Use a 3 yr allocation & fully fund 3 years’
of w/drawls from L-T account. | Balance of portfolio. |
1 year hence. | Current yr’s w/drawl from S-T account. | (1) If markets were up, use 3 yr allocation & fully
fund 3 years’ w/drawls from L-T account; (2) If markets were down, use 2 yr allocation & thus fund 2 years’ w/drawls. | Balance of Portfolio. |
2 years hence. | Current yr’s w/drawl from S-T account. | (1) If markets were up, use 3 yr allocation &
fully fund 3 years’ w/drawls from L-T account; (2) If markets were down, 100% in cash & thus fund 1 year’s w/drawls. | Balance of portfolio. |
3 years hence. | Current yr’s w/drawl from S-T account. | (1) If markets were up, use 3 yr allocation &
fully fund 3 years w/drawls from L-T account; (2) If markets were down, client “tightens belt” & fund 1 year’s
w/drawls from L-T account. | Balance of portfolio. |